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Mathematics of Filtering and its Applications

13 - 15 July 2011 Brunel University

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Workshop Aims and Objectives

The first interdisciplinary workshop on the mathematics of filtering and its applications will be held at Brunel University, UK from 13 July to 15 July 2011.

The problem of estimating the latent states of a dynamical system from observed data often arises in many branches of physical and social sciences, including image processing, navigation, econometrics, finance and meteorology. Filtering refers to any method for obtaining such state estimates, recursively in time, by combining model predictions with noisy observations. While the solution to filtering problem for a linear dynamic system is well understood and has been studied extensively since 1960s, there is no single solution available for filtering in nonlinear systems which outperforms all the other possible solutions. For commonly occurring nonlinear model structures, the conditional distribution is often given by solution of a stochastic partial differential equation. This equation is usually quite difficult
to solve numerically and is intractable if we need a solution in real time (as in the case of navigation applications) or if the state dimension is very large (as in the case of meteorology). Different Bayesian approximation methods exist for solving the nonlinear filtering problem arising in different fields such as image processing, meteorology and econometrics, each offering an application-specific compromise between estimation accuracy, computational burden and
numerical robustness. Due to diversity of applications, the researchers from different fields rarely have an opportunity to meet to learn from each other about mathematical innovations in filtering in their respective fields. The workshop on the mathematics of filtering and its applications being organized at Brunel University will bring together British researchers from different application areas to share state-of-the-art knowledge about filtering in their respective fields and to provide a platform for further research interaction. The program for the workshop will include six invited
lectures, contributed sessions along multiple streams (such as econometrics, bioinformatics and meteorology) and a conference dinner on 14th July.

Local Organisers
Dr Paresh Date (paresh.date@brunel.ac.uk)

Prof. Zidong Wang School of Information Systems, Computing and Mathematics, Brunel University.

Provisional Programme for the workshop


Location details (please see the campus map)

  • Lectures: The lecture room LC261 is on the second floor of the Lecture Centre in zone C.

Wednesday 13th July

10:00 - 11:00   Registration and coffee

10:30-11:00    Setting the scene: An introduction to the workshop (Dr Paresh Date, main organizer)

11:00 - 12:00   Prof. S. Godsill (University of Cambridge, UK),  Advances in Bayesian filtering using Monte Carlo methods

12:00 - 13:15   Lunch break

13:15-13:45   M. Pollock, A.M. Johansen and G.O. Roberts, Particle filtering for jump diffusions

13:45- 14:15   T. Lemke and S.J. Godsill, Monte Carlo for alpha-stable levy processes
14:15-14:45    T. Peng and M. Minozzo, Monte Carlo Filtering for some bi-variate marked doubly stochastic Poisson processes

14:45 - 15:15  Coffee break

15:15-16:15  Prof. Z. Wang (Brunel University, UK),  Multiobjective filtering with randomly occurring incomplete information

Thursday 14th July

09:15 – 10:45  Contributed sessions
09:15-09:45   A. Furlan, D. Marzorati and D. Sorrenti, On the normality of the projection parameters

09:45-10:15   L. Cattelani, C.E. Manfredotti and V. Messina, multiple object tracking with probabilistic relationships
10:15-10:45    M.W.M. Al-neama, Intelligent techniques in bioinformatics

 

10:45 - 11:15   Coffee break

11:15 - 12:15   Prof. Stephen Roberts (University of Oxford, UK),  Gaussian Processes for Active Data Selection, Changepoints and Faults

12:15 - 13:15   Lunch

13:15 – 15:15 Contributed sessions 

13:15-13:45   R. D. Wilkinson and M. Vrettas, Quantifying forecast uncertainty in dynamical systems using the particle filter
13:45-14:15   S. Sidorov and V. Balash, Stochastic volatility model with an exogenous control news flow process
14:15-15:15   M. Campi, Interval Prediction models: Identification and reliability (60 minute session)

 

15:15 - 15:45  Coffee break

15:45-16:45  Prof. Peter Jan Van Leeuwen (University of Reading, UK),  Particle filters in high-dimensional geophysical systems

19:00               Course dinner (Darwin room, Hamilton Centre)  

Friday 15th July

09:15 – 10:45  Contributed sessions

09:15-09:45   K. Ponomareva and P. Date, The higher order sigma point filter: a new heuristic for nonlinear time series filtering
09:45-10:15   K. Yuan and M. Niranjan, Inference in state-space model with point process observations: Algorithms and Applications
10:15-10:45   T. Yigit, Time varying co-integration and the Kalman  filter

10:45 - 11:15   Coffee break

11:15 - 12:15  Dr L. Mihaylova (University of Lancaster, UK),  Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Localisation in Wireless Sensor Networks

12:15 - 13:15   Lunch break

13:15-14:45    Contributed sessions

13:15-13:45   M. Abdel-jawad and P. Date, Application of Kalman  filter for debt issuance optimization
13:45-14:15   R. Mamon, Estimation of an asset price model modulated by a higher order Markov chain
14:15-14:45   H. Christensen and J. Murphy, Algorithmic trading with particle filters

14:45-15:15 A. Ernst and M. Belz, Validation of a Kalman-Filter-implementation for parameter estimation in affine-term-structure models as part of a risk model validation

15:15-15:45 Coffee break
15:45-16:45 Nonparametric Probability Forecasts via State
Space Models
Professor Brendan McCabe, University of Liverpool
Management School, UK
16:45 Close

Participation & Abstract submission

There is the opportunity to present a paper or simply to attend as a delegate.

Abstract submission

Please submit a single page abstract, including the title of the presentation, names and contact details of authors, as a PDF attachment. This can be sent along with the registration form, or it can be sent independently to info@optirisk-systems. com. Contributed presentations will be 20 minutes each, with 5 additional minutes for questions.

Fees
PhD students £50.00 (or £16.67/day)+ VAT @ 20%
Post Doc & Academics £150.00 (or £50/day) + VAT @ 20%
Industry £350.00 (or £150/day) + VAT @ 20%

Directions to Brunel University Campus

Detailed directions can be found at http://www.brunel.ac.uk/about/campus/directions . An interactive travel map can be found at http://brunel.pindar.com/ .

By London bus
From Uxbridge (underground) station: U3 (alight Cleveland Road), U1, U4 and U7 (alight Kingston Lane), 427, 607 and A10 (alight The Greenway and use river path to North loop road in zone E on campus map), 222 and U5 (alight Cowley Road and use path via University flats). Journey time in all cases is around 5-10 minutes. Even though U2 from Uxbridge station has its terminal stop indicated as Brunel University, it takes a much longer route than all the other options mentioned here and is best avoided.
From Heathrow Central Bus Station: A10, every 15 minutes, journey time approximately 25 minutes (alight The Greenway and use river path).

From West Drayton national rail station: Take 222 (alight Cowley Road), U5 (alight station Road) or U3 (alight Cleveland Road).

 

By London underground
Take the Metropolitan Line from Baker Street westbound to Uxbridge station (approximately 35 minutes) and then take one of the bus routes recommended above.

By British national rail
Nearest national rail station is West Drayton (1.5 miles from campus). Frequent services run from London Paddington (approximately 20 minutes) as well as from Bristol in the West. From West Drayton station, follow the instructions for bus routes recommended above.

If you arrive at one of the major London rail terminals: take Metropolitan line from King’s Cross towards Uxbridge (approximately 55 minutes to Uxbridge) or walk from London Euston to Euston Square station (approximately 300 m) and then take Metropolitan line as above. As a guide, allow an extra 60-70 minutes to get to Brunel University after reaching one of the London national rail terminals.

By air

The campus is approximately 5 miles from the London Heathrow airport. From the airport, follow the instructions for the bus route recommended above.



Accommodation

En-suite, on-campus bed and breakfast accommodation is available at Brunel. However, the candidates are advised to book this directly with Brunel Conference services, Brunel University, Uxbridge UB8 3PH (phone: +44 1895 238353, fax: +44 1895 269745, email: conference@brunel.ac.uk). While booking, please specify whether you will require an internet access. As of 20th May 2011, the charge for an En-suite room is £42.50 + VAT per night, including internet access (both in-room as well as on ‘guest-net’ PCs in the lecture centre).

Nearby off-campus accommodation options include:

  1. The Red Lion Hotel Uxbridge (Hillingdon Road, 15 minutes walking distance), around £120 per night.  Website: http://www.fullershotels.com/rte.asp?id=18 .

 

  1. Premier Inn Hayes, UB3 1JT (Uxbridge Road, 10 minutes by local bus 427, buses every 5-7 minutes), around £60 per night (room only). Website: www.premierinn.com .
  1. Travelodge Uxbridge (Uxbridge tube station, 20 minutes walk or 5 minutes bus ride by bus A10, U4, 607 or 427, buses every 3-5 minutes), around £75 per night including breakfast. Website: www2.travelodge.co.uk/search_and_book/hotel_overview.php?hotel_id=365 .

 

Meals/Food

Lunches and other meals can be purchased during the day through various cafeterias on the campus, including the More foodhall in the Hamilton Centre in zone C and a café in Bannerman centre, both of which are in close vicinity of the lecture centre.

For the evening meals, Uxbridge town centre provides a very good choice of restaurants and pubs (20 minutes walk or 5 minutes bus ride, buses every 3-5 minutes from The Greenway bus-stop). For a wider choice of international cuisine, London West End is around 35 minutes from Uxbridge (by Piccadilly line). For those who favour ethnic Indian food, Southall has several North Indian restaurants (20 minutes by bus no. 607 towards Acton/Ealing from The Greenway bus-stop; buses every 8-10 minutes).

Parking

The delegates can park at any parking bay with a red dot, except the pay and display car park near the main reception. The reception in Wilfred Brown building can assist you with the locations of visitor parking bays. You need to collect your parking permit from the main reception in Wilfred Brown building as soon as you arrive.




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